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Tag: publication

The ecology of competition: A theory of risk–reward environments in adaptive decision making

January 1, 2021 Timothy J. Pleskac, Larissa Conradt, Christina Leuker, and Ralph Hertwig

In many choice environments, risks and rewards—or probabilities and payoffs—seem tightly coupled such that high payoffs only occur with low…

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Posted in: Adaptive Toolbox, Choice Environment, Risk-Reward Filed under: publication

Taming Uncertainty

January 1, 2019 Ralph Hertwig, Timothy J. Pleskac, Thorsten Pachur, & Center for Adaptive Rationality

An examination of the cognitive tools that the mind uses to grapple with uncertainty in the real world. How do…

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Posted in: Adaptive Toolbox, Book, Decision Making, Uncertainty Filed under: publication

How prior information and police experience impact decisions to shoot

January 1, 2018 David J. Johnson, Joseph Cesario, and Timothy J. Pleskac

Social psychologists have relied on computerized shooting tasks to test whether race influences decisions to shoot. These studies reveal that…

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Posted in: Choice Environment, Evidence Accumulation, Police Shootings, Real World Scenario Filed under: publication

Exploiting risk–reward structures in decision making under uncertainty

Timothy J. Pleskac, Larissa Conradt, Christina Leuker, and Ralph Hertwig

People often have to make decisions under uncertainty—that is, in situations where the probabilities of obtaining a payoff are unknown…

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Posted in: Choice Environment, Risk-Reward, Uncertainty Filed under: publication

Interference effects of choice on confidence: Quantum characteristics of evidence accumulation

January 1, 2015 Peter D. Kvam, Timothy J. Pleskac, Shuli Yu, and Jerome R. Busemeyer

Decision-making relies on a process of evidence accumulation which generates support for possible hypotheses. Models of this process derived from…

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Posted in: Confidence, Decision Making, Evidence Accumulation Filed under: publication

Dynamics of postdecisional processing of confidence

Shuli Yu, Timothy J. Pleskac, and Matthew D. Zeigenfuse

Most cognitive theories assume that confidence and choice happen simultaneously and are based on the same information. The 3 studies…

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Posted in: Confidence, Decision Making, Evidence Accumulation Filed under: publication

Rapid decisions from experience

January 1, 2014 Matthew D. Zeigenfuse, Timothy J. Pleskac, and Taosheng Liu

In many everyday decisions, people quickly integrate noisy samples of information to form a preference among alternatives that offer uncertain…

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Posted in: Decision Making, Preferential Choice, Time Pressure Filed under: publication

Ecologically rational choice and the structure of the environment.

Ralph Hertwig, and Timothy J. Pleskac

In life, risk is reward and vice versa. Unfortunately, the big rewards people desire are relatively unlikely to occur. This…

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Posted in: Ambiguity Aversion, Choice Environment, Risk-Reward Filed under: publication

Comparability Effects in Probability Judgments

January 1, 2012 Timothy J. Pleskac

Psychological theories of subjective probability judgments assume that accumulated evidence (support) mediates the relation between the description of a to-be-judged…

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Posted in: Independence Violations, Probability Judgments, Similarity Filed under: publication

A detection model of college withdrawal

January 1, 2011 Timothy J. Pleskac, Jessica Keeney, Stephanie M. Merritt, Neal Schmitt, and Frederick L. Oswald

Many students during their college careers consider withdrawing from their respective college or university. Understanding why some students decide to…

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Posted in: Decision Making, Real World Scenario, Signal Detection, Student Withdrawal Filed under: publication

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Lab News

  • Dr. Pleskac to join panel discussion on Mapping Behavior Around the Virus: Behavioral Scientists Examine Activity Amid COVID-19 Pandemic
  • The ecology of competition: A theory of risk–reward environments in adaptive decision making
  • Dr. Pleskac to give a talk at the Science Matters Brown Bag Lunch and Learn: Tools for Thinking about Risk During the Pandemic
  • Dr. Pleskac joins Living Lab Radio for podcast on Taming Uncertainty
  • Institute for Policy & Social Research 2018-2019 Luncheon
  • Twitter
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